09/25/2006: I am not convinced that Hillary Clinton will be the candidate to beat in 2008. Nor am I convinced that the GOP will hold onto either house of Congress this November.
Hillary Clinton is no shoo-in for the Presidency in 2008; in fact, she is not even a lock for her own party’s nomination.
For one thing, she does not have the political savvy of her husband. Sure, she won a landslide in 2000 for the New York Senate seat, and will win re-election handily this November.
However, she has a serious credibility gap with flyover country. She also lacks the charisma of her husband, who could tell you to go to hell, telling you in such a way that you would long to go there. Hillary does not inspire Americans to go to battle behind her.
On the other hand, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson will have a very strong chance of carrying his party. A moderate Democrat who has had to deal firsthand with immigration woes, Richardson will probably be the man to beat in 2008. Another strong candidate will be Iowa governor Tom Vilsack. Prediction: it will be Richardson, not Hillary, who carries the flag for the DNC in 2008.
Do the Republicans have anyone who could challenge for President? Yes, but it won’t be Giuliani or McCain. Neither of them will carry the party faithful. Giuliani is too liberal on social issues–abortion, gay rights, gun control–and McCain is all for McCain.
And don’t even think about Virginia Senator George Allen. He’ll be darn lucky to win re-election. Like Howard “Yeaarrrgghhhh!!!” Dean, Allen’s career is all but ruined by three syllables: mucaca. That has left Allen in deep caca, and not only jeopardizes his Senate seat but also GOP control of the Senate.
You can also forget about Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. As good a job as he has done as a Republican governor in a very Democratic state, he is too liberal on social issues to connect effectively with hardcore conservatives. Fairly or unfairly, he cannot carry the South.
As for potential GOP candidates for 2008? Look out for Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Mississippi governor Haley Barbour. Both are bona fide conservatives; each can connect with Middle America; and each has established his leadership in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.
Prediction: Haley Barbour will take the nomination for the GOP in 2008.
As for this November, heck…it is anyone’s guess. The GOP-controlled Congress has alienated the conservative base with their runaway spending and indecision on immigration, and President Bush has done a horrible job communicating his successes (this in spite of the improvemnt Tony Snow has added to the Bush team).
On the other hand, the DNC is The Party With No Answers. While voter anger is as high as it was in 1994, neither Harry Reid nor Nancy Pelosi has the visionary style of Newt Gingrich, whose Contract With America was a stroke of pure genius.
The GOP machine–having torn a page from Tip O’Neill 101: All Politics Is Local–is running a smart strategy toward November. If they win, the burden will be on them to show they can implement policy and not merely win elections. Otherwise, they will lose badly in 2008.
If Bush is smart, he will get our troops out of Iraq within 12 months. There is no good reason for us to keep our troops in Iraq longer than that. Our troops have performed well, and have accomplished what our military can accomplish. It is time for the Iraqis to take control of their destiny.
Bush needs to get aggressive about promoting our successes, and we have had successes. His current blitz on this has been effective, and he needs to refine it and stay on the attack.
If he does, the GOP might once again stifle the DNC in the midterm elections.
However, win or lose, the GOP needs to quit catering to the Rockefeller wing of the Republican party.
Bush needs to abandon neo-conservatism, fight the war without apology, get tough on spending, embrace sound immigration policy, and make the case for conservatism.
As for the DNC, they are recycling the failed policies of Marx, Lenin, Stalin, Ceucescu, Pol Pot, Mao, Castro, and Guevara, only with a kinder, gentler veneer.
Why am I So Angry at the GOP
09/30/2006: First, a few things about my bona fides.
I am a lifelong God-and-country Reagan conservative. I was never able to vote for him–I was too young in both 1980 and 1984–I am a true blue member of that Reagan revolution. My conservatism played heavily in my choice of college (Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University), major (aeronautical engineering), and career path (It was my intention to pursue a military career–the medical exam precluded me, however). I am a hardcore anti-totalitarian.
My social politics are libertarian, except for my pro-life stance on abortion. I am all for gun control–which I define as tactical excellence.
Ergo, in national elections, I have voted Republican the vast majority of the time. Even when the GOP candidates have often been less then desirable, they have been more desirable next to the DNC alternatives.
Now, they are equally repugnant.
The DNC is the party of communism, feminism, atheism, and mass murder. For most of the last 30 years, Americans could count on the GOP–for all their faults–to support traditional values, strong defense, and tough law-and-order approaches to dangerous criminals.
Unfortunately, at some point in the past decade, the GOP leadership embraced the old Country Club mentality with all the corruption that goes with it. Only they took it to a new low.
In their quest to win elections, the GOP leadership has protected pedophile Mark Foley (R-FL), who sent sexually-explicit messages to a high school student working as a page.
The DNC is no stranger to lurid scandals, as the Mel Reynolds teen sex scandal and Ted Kennedy Chappquiddick case prove.
So where is Ken Mehlman? What will be his election ad? “Sure, we harbor pedophiles, but we are better on national security!”?
Where is Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist? He calls himself a Christian? Would Jesus remain mum on this issue, when in fact He admonished His disciples about not harming children?
Where is President Bush? Why is he not taking the high road on this? While many would insist that this is a House issue and not a White House issue, Bush needs to take the lead and use the bully pulpit to whip his party into returning to its traditional values roots.
That means purging pedophiles–and their protectors–out of Congress.
This is not merely about Mark Foley; in fact, FoleyGate reveals the systemic corruption within the ranks of Republican party leadership. There are no true leaders among Republicans. As a result, the party has lost the moral compass that made it great.
Over the past six years, the GOP has abandoned its smaller government ideals, increased spending in ways that make FDR look prudent, refused to tackle critical issues, and now they protect child molesters.
I never worry about the antics of the DNC; they don’t do things that are unexpected. We all know Howard Dean is a nutbrain and John Kerry sucks up to Jacques Chirac.
But for the GOP to coddle pedophiles? That is unbecoming of a true conservative.