A Snapshot of a Demographic Time Bomb

First, some stipulations:

  1. I’m not a Catholic;
  2. I oppose abortion–yes, even in cases of rape and incest–and also oppose contraceptive methods that are potentially abortifacient. Those should be criminalized;
  3. Aside from (2), I have no concern for micromanaging the family planning choices that husbands and wives make. That means any contraceptive method that does not kill children is your business.

With that out of the way, we have this observation from a Catholic Priest. (HT: Vox Day)

More than 20 years ago, I was the President of a county Right to Life chapter. In that capacity, I often spoke to church groups as well as high school classes. Back then, I pointed out that, because our birth rate is below the replacement level, we would eventually suffer economically, as programs such as Social Security and Medicare would face the specter of financial insolvency. I also pointed out that this was going to become a very big deal in countries like Japan, Russia, and most European countries.


  • Social security and Medicare are in danger of insolvency;
  • Russia is in dire trouble due to its low birth rate;
  • Ditto for Japan;
  • Ditto for most of Europe.

Most industrialized countries–including the United States–are filling their demographic gap via expanded immigration. That dynamic, however, is causing its own unintended consequences. Hispanics now pretty much own California and most of the American Southwest. Muslims–whom we imported from Iraq, Chechnya, and Somalia as “refugees”–now pretty much own entire towns and regions.

Irrespective of your views on life issues, Mr. Sauppe is correct in his observation. The mathematics of the Baby Bust–directly the result of contraception and in-utero infanticide on demand–is the direct cause of the demise of many a Parish and Catholic school. It is a snapshot of what is happening in the larger macro economy.

The following here is more chilling, although I did not find it surprising:

I, and St. Mary’s, closed the school that May 2010. Now three years later, I am razing the school building. It breaks my heart every time I go into this closed school. It is only 50 years old and yes, the windows and heating are in need of replacement, but otherwise the building is in good shape. You could not build as solid a building these days. There has not been a week without someone bringing the school closure and now razing up to me and how sad it is.

But the cost of insurance and the cost of heating an empty building has become too burdensome for an aging and a decreasing congregation. A part of this decrease has happened because I have preached against the Culture of Death.

I have modestly preached against contraception and sterilization, but for many of my parishioners it is too late. Most of them are done with raising more children. They have had their two kids twenty, thirty, forty years ago and some women don’t want to hear about the Culture of Death. They decide to go to other parishes where the pastor doesn’t prick their consciences.

Having grown up in the 60‘s and 70‘s with many “Don’t call me Father” Priests, I knew that the problem was a lack of orthodoxy. Twenty years ago when I was ordained, I thought that if I just preached the faith and celebrated a solemn Sunday Mass people would turn around. But, after twenty years, my experience is that a few parishioners will write letters to the Bishop, some will leave murmuring, but the standard fare is benign indifference. Instead of encountering joy and submission to the Natural Law and the Church’s teaching on human life and its dignity, I have found Catholic Christians either complacent or complicit with the Culture of Death. It was reported that over fifty percent of Catholics voted for a pro-abortion president who at a recent Texas Planned Parenthood convention asked God to bless them. If I have found any fruit, it has mostly come from home-schooling families.

I have also found this to be the case with Protestants as well. It reminds me of something a certain Apostle said (II Timothy 4:3-4):

For the time is coming when people will not endure sound teaching, but having itching ears they will accumulate for themselves teachers to suit their own passions, and will turn away from listening to the truth and wander off into myths.

5 thoughts on “A Snapshot of a Demographic Time Bomb

  1. . Back then, I pointed out that, because our birth rate is below the replacement level, we would eventually suffer economically, as programs such as Social Security and Medicare would face the specter of financial insolvency.

    The solution to a Ponsi scheme is not to force more victims to participate. Any solution that does not include freedom for future generations is no solution at all. America has plenty of people. We don’t need immigration or higher (white implied) birth rates to remain a good place to live. We can even choose to shrink in territory as our population declines or we can (horrors) accept all the terrifying consequences of less traffic, less pollution, lower poverty, lower taxes, and full employment of our population.

    • The problem is that this encompasses far more than government transfer programs, which are Ponzi schemes. It encompasses all of society.

      Anyone with a financial planning structure predicated on a certain level of growth (usually in the neighborhood of 5-8%) is going to be impacted. All financial instruments–such as insurance policies, pensions–are predicated on such levels of growth. Almost everyone in the workforce–public and private–is depending on regular pay raises.

      Moreover, we have a practical problem here: when portions of our society are no longer able to work, who will take care of them? Large families provided that need in prior generations. Today, with the declining population base, that sector is in need of long-term care, the cost of which may–and probably will– exceed their resources, even if they saved for retirement.

      A good friend of mine–herself a Boomer–suggested that the younger generations would almost certainly solve that problem via euthanasia. While I am not going to say that she is correct, my cynical side tends to think that she is probably not far from the truth.

      Even then, we’re back to those unintended consequences of the Baby Bust: the boomers will have contracepted and aborted their way to this dilemma.

      Generational payback….

      • It may be hard for you to imagine, but most old people die without ever needing to check into long term care facilities. And a whole BUNCH of men die before they ever retire.

        Thus, the euthanasia treatment is really only a possibility for those old people who cannot resist and have no living relatives who will resist for them. So you see there is another side to this. It doesn’t matter how many children you have if you are a douchebag to them and they spend their entire adult lives waiting for you to die and get off the planet. As Dr. Laura would say, “if you end up all alone late in life depending on strangers to care for you because you were a real jerk your whole life, don’t expect anyone to feel sorry for you”.

  2. I have but one (adult) son .. I had a vasectomy the month before he was born when we were confident things were fine with him; not he has given me a grandchild. I wonder if my marriage would have turned out differently – perhaps not – if I/we would have had another child. This is mostly an imponderable; I would still be following standard christian marriage advice (just abase yourself enough – disastrous); but the having of another child in the picture may have changed other dynamics.

  3. I’ve never been married and have no children. I also have no nieces or nephews; my sister and her husband, married for more than 20 years, tried to have children but couldn’t.

    Had I married at what would be considered a normal age I would have wanted to have at least two children. Now that I’m in my mid-50’s I consider it unlikely I’ll have children even if I eventually marry. There’s a reason God designed us to have children in young adulthood when we still have plenty of energy. Besides, it would be rather strange to have a child younger than the grandson of one of my younger cousins.

    Perhaps we’ve have had a different outcome had the church’s teachings on marriage and family been more proactive than reactive. And we’ve definitely seen plenty of reactive teaching in the evangelical church over the last 10-15 years. Is it too late?

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